Strategic wargaming
Exercise Ernstfall
- Client
- German Wargaming Center, Helmut Schmidt University / University of the Bundeswehr Hamburg
- Format
- Flagship exercise under a research collaboration
- Sector
- Defence · Government and national security
01The situation
Modern strategic crises unfold through far more than military movements. Decision-makers operate within a contested information environment shaped by political signalling, media reporting, public pressure, adversary behaviour and incomplete information.
02The brief
Explore how next-generation simulation can support strategic wargaming, behavioural modelling and the analysis of decision-making under pressure.
What was tested
- Strategic decision-making
- Crisis escalation
- AI adversaries
- Decision analytics
03How it ran
Capital Shield gave the German Wargaming Center access to Foresight to explore how these dynamics could be built into future strategic simulations. Through Foresight, the Center can design and test complex scenarios, experiment with adaptive actors and recreate the information environment surrounding strategic decisions.
The collaboration is a foundation for jointly designed exercises, research into decision-making and behavioural modelling, and a reusable strategic simulation capability.
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